{"id":14258,"date":"2022-03-28T14:42:43","date_gmt":"2022-03-28T14:42:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lediemchihue.com\/?p=14258"},"modified":"2022-03-28T14:42:46","modified_gmt":"2022-03-28T14:42:46","slug":"tran-viet-long-cuoc-chien-nga-ukraine-va-nen-hoa-binh-the-gioi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lediemchihue.com\/?p=14258","title":{"rendered":"Tr\u1ea7n Vi\u1ec7t Long &#8211; Cu\u1ed9c Chi\u1ebfn Nga- Ukraine v\u00e0 N\u1ec1n Ho\u00e0 B\u00ecnh Th\u1ebf Gi\u1edbi"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\"><figure class=\"aligncenter is-resized\"><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/lediemchihue.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/10-21.jpg?resize=596%2C374&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-14262\" width=\"596\" height=\"374\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/lediemchihue.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/10-21.jpg?w=794&amp;ssl=1 794w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/lediemchihue.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/10-21.jpg?resize=300%2C188&amp;ssl=1 300w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/lediemchihue.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/10-21.jpg?resize=768%2C482&amp;ssl=1 768w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/lediemchihue.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/10-21.jpg?resize=88%2C55&amp;ssl=1 88w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 596px) 100vw, 596px\" \/><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn Nga &#8211; Ukraine l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn t\u1ea5t y\u1ebfu ph\u1ea3i x\u1ea3y ra, ch\u1ec9 c\u00f3 nh\u1eefng \u0111i\u1ec1u sau th\u00ec th\u1eadt ng\u1ea1c nhi\u00ean, kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 ti\u00ean li\u1ec7u \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c: <\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>Kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng ti\u1ebfp v\u1eadn, h\u1eadu c\u1ea7n c\u1ee7a qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i Nga qu\u00e1 y\u1ebfu.<\/li><li>K\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt t\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn c\u1ee7a L\u1ee5c qu\u00e2n Nga (B\u1ed9 binh, Th\u1ee7y qu\u00e2n l\u1ee5c chi\u1ebfn, Nh\u1ea3y d\u00f9, Thi\u1ebft gi\u00e1p, Ph\u00e1o binh, B\u1ed9 binh C\u01a1 gi\u1edbi) kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c hu\u1ea5n luy\u1ec7n tinh nhu\u1ec7 nh\u01b0 L\u1ee5c qu\u00e2n M\u1ef9 m\u00e0 ngay c\u1ea3 Trung C\u1ed9ng th\u00ec L\u1ee5c qu\u00e2n Nga c\u0169ng c\u00f2n thua xa.<\/li><li>Tinh th\u1ea7n y\u00eau n\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0 l\u00f2ng d\u0169ng c\u1ea3m chi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ea5u c\u1ee7a qu\u00e2n v\u00e0 d\u00e2n Ukraine qu\u00e1 cao ngo\u00e0i s\u1ef1 ti\u00ean li\u1ec7u c\u1ee7a Putin v\u00e0 ng\u01b0\u1eddi Nga.<\/li><li>Ba v\u0169 kh\u00ed tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 Li\u00ean minh ch\u00e2u \u00c2u (EU) c\u00f3 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng h\u1eefu hi\u1ec7u tuy\u1ec7t v\u1eddi m\u00e0 Putin v\u00e0 B\u1ed9 Tham m\u01b0u Ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb c\u1ee7a Putin kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 ng\u1edd \u0111\u1ebfn \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c:<\/li><li>1. Asset sanction: \u0110\u00f3ng b\u0103ng t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n (to freeze Russian oligarchs&#8217; property, kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i t\u1ecbch thu) c\u1ee7a Nh\u00f3m l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o Ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 Qu\u1ea3 \u0111\u1ea7u Ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb (Oligarchy) n\u00ean Nh\u00f3m Oligarchists kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 d\u00f9ng kh\u1ed1i l\u01b0\u1ee3ng t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n kh\u1ed5ng l\u1ed3 \u0111\u00f3 \u0111\u1ec3 t\u00e0i tr\u1ee3 chi\u1ebfn tranh cho Nga m\u00e0 s\u1ef1 \u0111\u00f3ng b\u0103ng n\u00e0y c\u00f2n tinh vi h\u01a1n \u1edf ch\u1ed7 l\u00e0 sau khi t\u00e1i l\u1eadp h\u00f2a b\u00ecnh th\u00ec s\u1ed1 t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n kh\u1ed5ng l\u1ed3 \u0111\u00f3 s\u1ebd l\u00e0 ng\u00e2n kho\u1ea3n b\u1ed3i th\u01b0\u1eddng chi\u1ebfn tranh \u0111\u1ec3 t\u00e1i thi\u1ebft s\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ed5 n\u00e1t do chi\u1ebfn tranh g\u00e2y ra.<\/li><li>2. Financial sanction: C\u1eaft \u0111\u1ee9t H\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng Thanh to\u00e1n Qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf (H\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng Giao d\u1ecbch \u0110i\u1ec7n t\u1eed v\u1ec1 T\u00e0i ch\u00e1nh v\u00e0 Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi \/ SWIFT \/ Society for the Worrldwide Interbank Financial Telecommunication). <\/li><li>3. Economic sanction: C\u1ea5m v\u1eadn h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a.<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">&#8211;    V\u00e0 c\u00f2n nhi\u1ec1u h\u00ecnh th\u1ee9c tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t kh\u00e1c nh\u01b0 kh\u00f4ng giao d\u1ecbch h\u00e0ng kh\u00f4ng, c\u1ea5m bay, c\u1ea5m \u0111\u1eadu, c\u1ea5m nh\u1eadp c\u1ea3nh, v.v\u2026<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">I.- T\u1ea0I SAO CU\u1ed8C CHI\u1ebeN NGA &#8212; UKRAINE L\u00c0 T\u1ea4T Y\u1ebeU?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Th\u1eed t\u01b0\u1edfng t\u01b0\u1ee3ng Nga hay Trung C\u1ed9ng \u0111em v\u0169 kh\u00ed h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n \u0111\u1eb7t t\u1ea1i Canada hay Mexico th\u00ec Hoa K\u1ef3 c\u00f3 t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng Canada hay Mexico kh\u00f4ng? V\u1ee5 kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng Cuba n\u0103m 1962 ng\u01b0\u1eddi ta ch\u1ec9 bi\u1ebft Khrushchev r\u00fat \u0111\u1ea7u \u0111\u1ea1n nguy\u00ean t\u1eed \u0111\u1eb7t t\u1ea1i Cuba v\u1ec1 n\u01b0\u1edbc m\u00e0 ng\u01b0\u1eddi ta \u00edt bi\u1ebft M\u1ef9 nh\u01b0\u1ee3ng b\u1ed9 Nga r\u1ea5t nhi\u1ec1u \u0111\u1ec3 Khrushchev tri\u1ec7t tho\u00e1i h\u1ecfa ti\u1ec3n mang \u0111\u1ea7u \u0111\u1ea1n nguy\u00ean t\u1eed ra kh\u1ecfi Cuba. Trong m\u1eadt \u01b0\u1edbc k\u00fd k\u1ebft v\u1edbi Nga, Kennedy \u0111\u00e3 bu\u1ed9c Khrushchev gi\u1eef k\u00edn chuy\u1ec7n M\u1ef9 r\u00fat &#8220;t\u1ea5t c\u1ea3&#8221; v\u0169 kh\u00ed t\u1ed1i t\u00e2n \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c thi\u1ebft \u0111\u1eb7t t\u1ea1i Th\u1ed5 Nh\u0129 K\u1ef3 \u0111\u1ec3 nh\u1eafm v\u00e0o Nga! S\u1ef1 nh\u01b0\u1ee3ng b\u1ed9 c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 c\u00f2n nhi\u1ec1u chuy\u1ec7n n\u1eefa.<br>\nChi\u1ebfn tranh Nga &#8211; Ukraine c\u00f3 ph\u1ea3i do T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng Zelenskyy tr\u1ebb tu\u1ed5i, thi\u1ebfu ki\u1ebfn th\u1ee9c l\u1ecbch s\u1eed v\u00e0 thi\u1ebfu kinh nghi\u1ec7m ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb kh\u00f4ng? Kh\u00f4ng, Hi\u1ebfn ph\u00e1p Ukraine ghi r\u00f5 Ukraine s\u1ebd xin gia nh\u1eadp NATO tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng Zelenskyy \u0111\u1eafc c\u1eed.<br>\nTrong khi h\u1ea7u h\u1ebft m\u1ecdi ng\u01b0\u1eddi, ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb gia (politicians), ch\u00ednh kh\u00e1ch (statemen), k\u00fd gi\u1ea3, b\u1ec9nh b\u00fat, v\u00e0 c\u00e1c nguy\u00ean th\u1ee7 qu\u1ed1c gia, cho \u0111\u1ebfn ng\u00e0y 23-02-2022, \u0111\u1ec1u tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 Nga ch\u1ec9 &#8220;bi\u1ec3u d\u01b0\u01a1ng l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng&#8221; \u0111\u1ec3 d\u1ecda Ukraine ch\u1ee9 Nga s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u00e1nh, kh\u00f4ng x\u00e2m l\u0103ng Ukraine th\u00ec T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng Biden h\u01a1n m\u1ed9t th\u00e1ng tr\u01b0\u1edbc ng\u00e0y 24-02-2022 \u0111\u00e3 x\u00e1c quy\u1ebft Nga s\u1ebd d\u00f9ng &#8220;t\u1ed5ng l\u1ef1c&#8221; (all forces) \u0111\u1ec3 x\u00e2m l\u0103ng Ukraine. Biden th\u00f4ng minh, Biden ti\u00ean li\u1ec7u nh\u01b0 th\u1ea7n? Kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i nh\u01b0 th\u1ebf m\u00e0 v\u00ec Biden bi\u1ebft Nga s\u1ebd x\u00e2m l\u0103ng Ukraine nh\u01b0 c\u00e1c si\u00eau c\u1ed1 v\u1ea5n cho l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o Ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 Hoa K\u1ef3, b\u1ea5t k\u1ec3 l\u00e0 C\u1ed9ng h\u00f2a hay D\u00e2n ch\u1ee7, t\u1eeb c\u00e1c Think Tanks \u01b0u vi\u1ec7t c\u1ee7a Hoa K\u1ef3.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">II.- TRUNG C\u1ed8NG S\u1ebc CH\u1eccN V\u1eca TR\u00cd N\u00c0O TRONG CU\u1ed8C CHI\u1ebeN NGA &#8212; UKRAINE?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">N\u1ebfu Hoa K\u1ef3 c\u00f3 c\u00e1c Think Tanks th\u00ec Trung C\u1ed9ng c\u00f3 m\u1ed9t Nh\u00e0 C\u1ed1 V\u1ea5n k\u1ef3 t\u00e0i \u0111\u00e3 ph\u1ee5c v\u1ee5 cho c\u1ea3 ba \u0111\u1eddi Ch\u1ee7 t\u1ecbch \u0110\u1ea3ng l\u00e0 Giang Tr\u1ea1ch D\u00e2n, H\u1ed3 C\u1ea9m \u0110\u00e0o, v\u00e0 T\u1eadp C\u1eadn B\u00ecnh; ng\u01b0\u1eddi \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 V\u01b0\u01a1ng H\u1ed5 Ninh. Xin v\u00e0o link n\u00e0y \u0111\u1ec3 bi\u1ebft qua V\u01b0\u01a1ng H\u1ed5 Ninh l\u00e0 ai v\u00ec nh\u00e2n v\u1eadt n\u00e0y l\u00e0 ng\u01b0\u1eddi quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u1ecb tr\u00ed c\u1ee7a Trung C\u1ed9ng tr\u00ean b\u00e0n c\u1edd th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi ch\u1ee9 kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i T\u1eadp C\u1eadn B\u00ecnh: https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Wang_Huning<br>\nTrong khi \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 v\u00e0 Pakistan (hai n\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u1ecbch th\u1ee7 c\u1ee7a nhau) g\u1ea7n nh\u01b0 \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 Nga trong cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn Nga &#8212; Ukraine v\u00ec hai t\u00ednh to\u00e1n kh\u00e1c nhau.  \u00c2n \u0110\u1ed9 bi\u1ebft r\u1eb1ng Nga ph\u1ea3i m\u1ea1nh th\u00ec m\u1edbi ki\u1ec1m ch\u1ebf \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c Trung C\u1ed9ng gi\u00fap \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9.  Pakistan bi\u1ebft r\u1eb1ng \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 Nga m\u00e0 Pakistan kh\u00f4ng \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 Nga th\u00ec Pakistan r\u1ea5t d\u1ec5 b\u1ecb \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 \u0103n hi\u1ebfp.<br>\nH\u01a1n ai h\u1ebft, Trung C\u1ed9ng thu\u1ed9c l\u00f2ng b\u00e0i to\u00e1n t\u01b0\u01a1ng quan gi\u1eefa ba n\u01b0\u1edbc Ng\u1ee5y, Th\u1ee5c, v\u00e0 Ng\u00f4.  Sau khi n\u01b0\u1edbc Ng\u1ee5y thu ph\u1ee5c \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c n\u01b0\u1edbc Th\u1ee5c th\u00ec s\u1ed1 ph\u1eadn n\u01b0\u1edbc Ng\u00f4 nh\u01b0 \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111o\u1ea1t r\u1ed3i: n\u01b0\u1edbc Ng\u1ee5y th\u1ed1ng nh\u1ea5t Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc Ng\u00f4 kh\u00f4ng c\u00f2n t\u00ean tr\u00ean b\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ed3 m\u00e0 t\u00f4n th\u1ea5t n\u01b0\u1edbc Ng\u00f4 l\u1ea1i bi th\u1ea3m h\u01a1n t\u00f4n th\u1ea5t n\u01b0\u1edbc Th\u1ee5c.  Do v\u1eady, n\u1ebfu Trung C\u1ed9ng kh\u00f4ng \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 Nga th\u00ec Putin, n\u00f3i cho c\u00f9ng, c\u0169ng \u0111i s\u1ed1ng l\u01b0u vong v\u1edbi m\u1ed9t kh\u1ed1i l\u01b0\u1ee3ng t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n l\u1edbn (do m\u1ed9t compromise ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb \u0111\u1ec3 gi\u1ea3m b\u1edbt \u0111\u1ed5 m\u00e1u), nh\u01b0ng v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 l\u00e0 vi\u1ec7c gi\u1ea3i gi\u1edbi s\u1ed1 l\u01b0\u1ee3ng v\u0169 kh\u00ed h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n c\u1ee7a Nga theo m\u1ed9t hi\u1ec7p \u01b0\u1edbc r\u1ea5t k\u1ef9 thu\u1eadt s\u1ebd d\u1eabn \u0111\u01b0a \u0111\u1ebfn hai h\u1eadu qu\u1ea3:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>\u0110\u1ea5t n\u01b0\u1edbc Nga s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i kinh t\u1ebf v\u00e0 nh\u00e2n d\u00e2n Nga s\u1ebd c\u00f3 m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c s\u1ed1ng th\u1eadt s\u1ef1 t\u1ef1 do v\u00e0 d\u00e2n ch\u1ee7 nh\u01b0 n\u01b0\u1edbc Nh\u1eadt v\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc \u0110\u1ee9c sau Th\u1ebf chi\u1ebfn th\u1ee9 hai; n\u01b0\u1edbc Nga t\u1eebng b\u01b0\u1edbc s\u1ebd gia nh\u1eadp EU v\u00e0 v\u1ec1 l\u00e2u v\u1ec1 d\u00e0i s\u1ebd l\u00e0 th\u00e0nh vi\u00ean c\u1ee7a NATO.  Khi Nga l\u00e0 th\u00e0nh vi\u00ean c\u1ee7a NATO th\u00ec Trung C\u1ed9ng s\u1ebd m\u1ea5t v\u0129nh vi\u1ec5n g\u1ea7n 2 tri\u1ec7u kilomet vu\u00f4ng ph\u00eda B\u1eafc theo nguy\u00ean tr\u1ea1ng c\u1ee7a Hi\u1ec7p \u01b0\u1edbc Yalta 1945.<\/li><li>Khi v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 Nga \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c gi\u1ea3i quy\u1ebft th\u00ec Trung Hoa s\u1ebd \u1edf v\u00e0o th\u1ebf &#8220;l\u01b0\u1ee1ng long tranh ch\u00e2u.&#8221;<br>\nTuy kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n nh\u01b0 v\u1eady nh\u01b0ng V\u01b0\u01a1ng H\u1ed5 Ninh s\u1ebd \u0111\u1ec1 ngh\u1ecb T\u1eadp C\u1eadn B\u00ecnh theo \u0111u\u1ed5i ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch trung l\u1eadp trong cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn Nga &#8211; Ukraine nh\u01b0 l\u00e0 t\u00f4n tr\u1ecdng ngh\u1ecb quy\u1ebft \u0111a s\u1ed1 c\u1ee7a \u0110\u1ea1i h\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ed3ng Li\u00ean Hi\u1ec7p Qu\u1ed1c. <\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">III.- L\u1ecaCH S\u1eec L\u1eb6P L\u1ea0I?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">N\u0103m 1914 Nga ho\u00e0ng Nicholas II quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0110\u1ebf qu\u1ed1c Nga tuy\u00ean chi\u1ebfn v\u1edbi \u0110\u1ebf ch\u1ebf \u0110\u1ee9c trong \u0110\u1ec7 nh\u1ea5t Th\u1ebf chi\u1ebfn.  Nga th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i li\u00ean ti\u1ebfp \u1edf c\u00e1c m\u1eb7t tr\u1eadn, \u0111\u1eddi s\u1ed1ng kinh t\u1ebf c\u1ee7a ng\u01b0\u1eddi d\u00e2n v\u00f4 c\u00f9ng c\u01a1 c\u1ef1c \u0111\u00e3 d\u1eabn \u0111\u01b0a \u0111\u1ebfn vi\u1ec7c Nga ho\u00e0ng Nicholas II b\u1ecb l\u1eadt \u0111\u1ed5 qua cu\u1ed9c C\u00e1ch m\u1ea1ng D\u00e2n ch\u1ee7 trong th\u00e1ng 3 n\u0103m 1917 g\u1ecdi l\u00e0 C\u00e1ch m\u1ea1ng Th\u00e1ng Hai. Nga ho\u00e0ng Nicholas II v\u00e0 Ho\u00e0ng gia g\u1ed3m Ho\u00e0ng h\u1eadu, m\u1ed9t Th\u00e1i t\u1eed va b\u1ed1n C\u00f4ng ch\u00faa b\u1ecb qu\u1ea3n th\u00fac t\u1ea1i gia theo l\u1ec7nh c\u1ee7a Ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 L\u00e2m th\u1eddi. Ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 L\u00e2m th\u1eddi v\u1edbi B\u1ed9 tr\u01b0\u1edfng B\u1ed9 Chi\u1ebfn tranh l\u00e0 Lu\u1eadt s\u01b0 Aleksandr F. Kerenskii v\u1eabn ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn v\u1edbi qu\u00e2n \u0110\u1ee9c v\u00e0 v\u1eabn thua tr\u1eadn li\u00ean mi\u00ean v\u00ec ti\u1ebfp v\u1eadn qu\u00e1 ngh\u00e8o n\u00e0n, binh s\u0129 thi\u1ebfu \u0103n tr\u1ea7m tr\u1ecdng.  T\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng \u0111\u00f3 \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0a \u0111\u1ebfn vi\u1ec7c \u0110\u1ea3ng C\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n Bolsheviks do Vladimir Lenine l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o c\u01b0\u1edbp \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n t\u1eeb Ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 L\u00e2m th\u1eddi trong th\u00e1ng 10 n\u0103m 1917 g\u1ecdi l\u00e0 C\u00e1ch m\u1ea1ng Th\u00e1ng M\u01b0\u1eddi.  Ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 C\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n Nga \u0111\u00e3 quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh x\u1eed t\u1eed c\u1ea3 gia \u0111\u00ecnh ho\u00e0ng gia Nga g\u1ed3m Nga ho\u00e0ng Nicholas II, Ho\u00e0ng h\u1eadu, Th\u00e1i t\u1eed v\u00e0 b\u1ed1n C\u00f4ng ch\u00faa.<br>\nN\u0103m 1991 T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng Li\u00ean bang X\u00f4 vi\u1ebft Mikhail Gorbachev b\u1ecb l\u1eadt \u0111\u1ed5 v\u00ec n\u01b0\u1edbc Nga \u0111\u00e3 b\u1ecb sa l\u1ea7y h\u01a1n m\u01b0\u1eddi n\u0103m trong cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn tranh v\u1edbi Afghanistan (1979-1989) l\u00e0m n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf c\u1ee7a Nga suy y\u1ebfu h\u1ebft s\u1ee9c tr\u1ea7m tr\u1ecdng, \u0111\u1eddi s\u1ed1ng c\u1ee7a ng\u01b0\u1eddi d\u00e2n Nga v\u1eeba c\u01a1 c\u1ef1c v\u1eeba thi\u1ebfu t\u1ef1 do n\u00ean ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 C\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n Nga tan r\u00e3.<br>\nC\u00f3 l\u1ebd l\u1ecbch s\u1eed s\u1ebd l\u1eb7p l\u1ea1i v\u1edbi Putin khi Putin l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn x\u00e2m l\u0103ng Ukraine th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i th\u00ec n\u1ed9i ch\u00ednh s\u1ebd h\u1ed7n lo\u1ea1n. C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 t\u00e0i phi\u1ec7t trong ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 qu\u1ea3 \u0111\u1ea7u (oligarchy) c\u1ee7a Putin kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 l\u1eadt \u0111\u1ed5 Putin v\u00ec m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n l\u00e0 t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd b\u1ecb phong t\u1ecfa, ph\u1ea7n kh\u00e1c l\u00e0 v\u00ec h\u1ecd ch\u1ec9 c\u00f3 ti\u1ec1n m\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 c\u01a1 c\u1ea5u th\u1ebf l\u1ef1c ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb trong qu\u1ea3ng \u0111\u1ea1i qu\u1ea5n ch\u00fang.  H\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng an ninh c\u1ee7a Ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 Nga c\u0169ng kh\u00f4ng l\u1eadt \u0111\u1ed5 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c Putin v\u00ec Putin c\u00f3 kinh nghi\u1ec7m t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c b\u1ed1n c\u01a1 c\u1ea5u an ninh kh\u00e1c nhau \u0111\u1ec3 ki\u1ec1m ch\u1ebf l\u1eabn nhau ch\u1ee9 kh\u00f4ng th\u1ed1ng thu\u1ed9c nhau theo m\u00f4 th\u1ee9c kim t\u1ef1 th\u00e1p.  Nh\u00e2n d\u00e2n th\u00ec t\u1ea5t nhi\u00ean kh\u00f4ng l\u1eadt \u0111\u1ed5 Putin \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c cho d\u1ea7u c\u00f3 h\u00e0ng tri\u1ec7u ng\u01b0\u1eddi xu\u1ed1ng \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng bi\u1ec3u t\u00ecnh ph\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ed1i \u0111\u00f2i l\u1eadt \u0111\u1ed5 Putin b\u1edfi v\u00ec bi\u1ec3u t\u00ecnh ch\u1ec9 l\u00e0 nh\u1eefng ng\u1ecdn l\u1eeda r\u01a1m m\u00e0 th\u00f4i. Nh\u01b0ng c\u00f3 m\u1ed9t th\u1ebf l\u1ef1c c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 v\u00e0 s\u1eb3n s\u00e0ng l\u1eadt \u0111\u1ed5 Putin l\u00e0 \u0111o\u00e0n qu\u00e2n th\u1ea5t tr\u1eadn tr\u1edf v\u1ec1 t\u1eeb m\u1eb7t tr\u1eadn Ukraine. Tuy v\u1eady, n\u1ec1n v\u0103n h\u00f3a Nga v\u1edbi b\u1ed1n tr\u0103m n\u0103m ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 Nga ho\u00e0ng c\u1ee7a d\u00f2ng h\u1ecd Romanov chuy\u00ean ch\u1ebf v\u00e0 h\u01a1n 70 n\u0103m ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 C\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ed9c t\u00e0i c\u00f9ng 20 n\u0103m ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 Qu\u1ea3 \u0111\u1ea7u (oligarchy) c\u1ee7a Putin th\u00ec T\u01b0\u1edbng l\u00e3nh Nga c\u00f3 truy\u1ec1n th\u1ed1ng t\u00f4n tr\u1ecdng nguy\u00ean t\u1eafc &#8220;d\u00e2n s\u1ef1 l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1.&#8221; Do v\u1eady, T\u01b0\u1edbng l\u00e3nh v\u00e0 qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i Nga s\u1eb3n s\u00e0ng thi h\u00e0nh m\u1ec7nh l\u1ec7nh c\u1ee7a m\u1ed9t nh\u00e0 l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh &#8220;th\u1eddi th\u1ebf t\u1ea1o anh h\u00f9ng,&#8221; mi\u1ec5n l\u00e0 nh\u00e0 l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o \u0111\u00f3 tuy\u00ean h\u1ee9a ch\u1ecbu tr\u00e1ch nhi\u1ec7m l\u1ecbch s\u1eed v\u1edbi \u0111\u1ea5t n\u01b0\u1edbc, tr\u00e1ch nhi\u1ec7m c\u01a1m \u00e1o g\u1ea1o ti\u1ec1n v\u1edbi d\u00e2n ch\u00fang trong n\u01b0\u1edbc, v\u00e0 tr\u00e1ch nhi\u1ec7m ph\u1ee5c h\u01b0ng n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf sau chi\u1ebfn tranh. <br>\nTr\u00e1ch nhi\u1ec7m \u0111\u00f3 t\u01b0\u1edfng l\u00e0 kh\u00f3 m\u00e0 th\u1eadt ra kh\u00f4ng kh\u00f3 khi n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf Nga \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111i\u1ec1u h\u00e0nh theo khuynh h\u01b0\u1edbng kinh t\u1ebf th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng v\u00e0 v\u1edbi s\u1ef1 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 theo tinh th\u1ea7n &#8220;t\u1ed1i hu\u1ec7 qu\u1ed1c&#8221; trong m\u1ed9t th\u1eddi gian. <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">IV.- VI\u1ec6T NAM TH\u00cc SAO?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Sau cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn Nga &#8212; Ukraine th\u00ec c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0 Trung C\u1ed9ng s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng \u0110\u00e0i Loan, \u00edt nh\u1ea5t l\u00e0 trong kho\u1ea3ng th\u1eddi gian 10 n\u0103m t\u1eeb nay \u0111\u1ebfn n\u0103m 2032.  Vi\u1ec7t Nam n\u00ean ch\u1ecdn ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh tr\u00ean c\u0103n b\u1ea3n nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u t\u01b0\u1eddng t\u1eadn v\u0103n b\u1ea3n, nh\u1eefng h\u1eadu \u00fd \u0111\u00e0ng sau v\u0103n b\u1ea3n, v\u00e0 ho\u00e0n c\u1ea3nh th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c c\u00e1n c\u00e2n hi\u1ec7n nay v\u1ec1 b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh (background) c\u1ee7a Th\u00f4ng C\u00e1o Chung Th\u01b0\u1ee3ng H\u1ea3i n\u0103m 1972 v\u00e0 Hi\u1ec7p \u0110\u1ecbnh Paris n\u0103m 1973 b\u1edfi v\u00ec trong ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb th\u00ec kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 t\u00ecnh b\u1ea1n v\u0129nh vi\u1ec5n, kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch \u0111\u1ed1i ngo\u1ea1i c\u1ed1 \u0111\u1ecbnh, v\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00fac n\u00e0o m\u1ed9t b\u00ean kh\u00f4ng t\u00f4n tr\u1ecdng nh\u1eefng \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00e3 k\u00fd k\u1ebft c\u0169ng th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng m\u00e0 n\u00ean d\u00e8 ch\u1eebng bi\u1ebft \u0111\u00e2u m\u00ecnh \u0111ang s\u1ee5p b\u1ea9y c\u1ee7a ng\u01b0\u1eddi ta m\u00e0 m\u00ecnh c\u1ee9 h\u00ed h\u1eedng l\u00e0 m\u00ecnh \u0111\u00e3 l\u1eeba \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u1ecd. Nh\u00ecn Biden l\u1eeba Putin v\u00e0o Ukraine nh\u01b0 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u \u0111i\u1ec3n h\u00ecnh c\u1ea7n ph\u00e2n t\u00edch th\u1eadt t\u01b0\u1eddng t\u1eadn.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Tr\u1ea7n Vi\u1ec7t Long<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn Nga &#8211; Ukraine l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn t\u1ea5t y\u1ebfu ph\u1ea3i x\u1ea3y ra, ch\u1ec9 [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":14262,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[32],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-14258","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tim-hieu"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/lediemchihue.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/10-21.jpg?fit=794%2C498&ssl=1","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p7bhGG-3HY","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/lediemchihue.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14258","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/lediemchihue.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/lediemchihue.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lediemchihue.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lediemchihue.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=14258"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/lediemchihue.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14258\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":14263,"href":"https:\/\/lediemchihue.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14258\/revisions\/14263"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lediemchihue.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/14262"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/lediemchihue.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=14258"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lediemchihue.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=14258"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/lediemchihue.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=14258"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}